Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.665813 3.902289 4.153252 4.440623 4.762089 5.112391 5.525416
2025-10-12 3.333754 3.672735 4.053965 4.519415 5.079362 5.740770 6.596071
2025-10-19 3.127609 3.524605 3.988866 4.581789 5.334248 6.280311 7.600546
2025-10-26 2.954821 3.386632 3.906748 4.594726 5.506291 6.714188 8.517561
2025-11-02 2.782996 3.230239 3.781105 4.529797 5.556403 6.976778 9.224274
2025-11-09 2.619019 3.069405 3.633774 4.417327 5.521690 7.105066 9.738491
2025-11-16 2.495689 2.950851 3.530336 4.351083 5.538634 7.301682 10.385907
2025-11-23 2.423981 2.893332 3.501202 4.381157 5.692236 7.718001 11.481747
2025-11-30 2.354381 2.833700 3.463945 4.394337 5.818223 8.102451 12.604389
2025-12-07 2.241430 2.710501 3.332618 4.261444 5.705415 8.074430 12.916918
2025-12-14 2.148069 2.609541 3.226759 4.158578 5.630000 8.099434 13.341856
2025-12-21 2.084987 2.546785 3.170698 4.125353 5.661869 8.314306 14.224962
2025-12-28 2.034315 2.500735 3.138366 4.129609 5.761916 8.678753 15.592339
2026-01-04 2.005765 2.484152 3.147329 4.198067 5.977283 9.297231 17.832179
2026-01-11 1.975447 2.463356 3.148452 4.253277 6.174183 9.913106 20.366864
2026-01-18 1.935249 2.426630 3.123843 4.264727 6.292802 10.386623 22.742476
2026-01-25 1.879475 2.365423 3.059773 4.207234 6.278217 10.566449 24.254976
2026-02-01 1.816115 2.291208 2.973166 4.107496 6.175547 10.531852 24.991401
2026-02-08 1.766765 2.235776 2.912936 4.048662 6.146318 10.665003 26.472867
2026-02-15 1.741528 2.214545 2.903840 4.075380 6.285203 11.225051 30.159705
2026-02-22 1.714029 2.188970 2.886797 4.087085 6.394973 11.735508 34.154028
2026-03-01 1.657291 2.118597 2.797677 3.968946 6.231117 11.508799 34.164140
2026-03-08 1.609203 2.059969 2.725300 3.877316 6.116376 11.401151 34.833415